The 39 references in paper Tara M. Sinclair (2012) “Characteristics and Implications of Chinese Macroeconomic Data Revisions” / RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2012-09

1
Ashiya, Masahiro. 2005. “Testing Rationality of Forecast Revision made by IMF and OECD.” Kobe University Discussion Paper No. 431 / 2005-02.
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2
Berger, Allen N. and Spencer D. Krane. 1985. “The Informational Efficiency of Econometric Model Forecasts.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 67, No. 1, pp. 128-134.
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3
Bradsher, Keith. 2011. “China, Driver of World Economy, May be Slowing” The New York Times, September 23, 2011.
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4
China Statistical Yearbook, various years, China Statistics Press. PDF files are available, with appropriate subscription, through http://chinadataonline.org/
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5
Chow, G. 2006. “Are Chinese Official Statistics Reliable?” CESifo Economic Studies, Vol.52 2/2006, 396-414.
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6
Croushore, D. 2011. "Frontiers of Real-Time Data Analysis," Journal of Economic Literature. 49(1): 72–100.
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7
Croushore, D. 2008. "Revisions To PCE Inflation Measures: Implications for Monetary Policy" Philadelphia Fed working paper 08-8.
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8
Croushore, D. and T. Stark. 2001. “A Real-Time Dataset for Macroeconomists.” Journal of Econometrics 105 (2001): 111-130. Curtis, C. C. and N. Mark. 2010. “Business Cycles, Consumption and Risk-Sharing: How Different Is China?” NBER Working Paper No. 16154. Dynan, K. E. and D. W. Elmendorf. 2001. "Do Provisional Estimates of Output Miss Economic Turning Points?" Federal Reserve Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series No. 2001-52.
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9
The Economist. 2008. “An Aberrant Abacus: Coming to Terms With China’s Untrustworthy Economic Numbers” Finance and Economics. Economics Focus. May 1st 2008.
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10
Heston, A. 2001. “Treatment of China in PWT 6” http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/Documentation/China.pdf
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11
Holden, K., & Peel, D. A. 1990. “On testing for unbiasedness and efficiency of forecasts.” Manchester School, 48, 120–127.
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12
Holz, C. 2003. “’Fast, Clear and Accurate:’ How Reliable Are Chinese Output and Economic Growth Statistics,” The China Quarterly, 173: 122-163.
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14
Holz, C. 2006. "China’s Reform Period Economic Growth: How Reliable Are Angus Maddison’s Estimates? Response to Angus Maddison’s Reply." Review of Income and Wealth, 52(3): 471-5.
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15
Holz, C. 2008. “China’s 2004 Economic Census and 2006 Benchmark Revision of GDP Statistics: More Questions than Answers?” The China Quarterly, 193: 150-163.
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16
Huang, Y., 2011. “Misinterpreting China’s Economy” Wall Street Journal, August 25, 2011.
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17
Jia, Y. 2011. “A New Look at China’s Output Fluctuations: Quarterly GDP Estimation with an Unobserved Components Approach” George Washington University Research Program on Forecasting Working Paper No. 2011-006.
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18
Joutz, Frederick & H. O. Stekler, 1998. "Data revisions and forecasting," Applied Economics, vol. 30(8), pages 1011-1016.
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19
Keidel, Albert. 2001. “China’s GDP Expenditure Accounts.” China Economic Review 12 (4):355–67.
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20
Keidel, Albert. 2007. “The Limits of a Smaller, Poorer China” Financial Times, November 14, 2007.
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21
Kennedy, James E. 1990. "An Analysis of Revisions to the Industrial Production Index." Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Economic Activity Section, Working Paper 109.
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22
Klein, L. R. and S. Ozmucur. 2003. “The estimation of China’s Economic growth rate” Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 28(4): 187-202.
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23
Lequiller, F. and D. Blades. 2007. “Chapter 13: China’s National Accounts” Understanding National Accounts, OECD, Pages: 365–382.
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24
Lin, Justin Yifu. 2011. “China and the Global Economy” Luncheon Address at the 2011 Asia Economic Policy Conference at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Transcript available at: http://www.frbsf.org/economics/conferences/aepc/2011/volume/Lin.pdf
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25
Maddison, A. 1998. Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run. Paris: Development Centre of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.
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26
Maddison, A. 2006. “Do Official Statistics Exaggerate China’s GDP Growth? A Reply to Carsten Holz.” Review of Income and Wealth 52 (1):121–26.
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27
McCully, Clinton P. and Steven Payson. 2009. “Preview of the 2009 Comprehensive Revision of the NIPAs: Statistical Changes” Survey of Current Business, May, 2009, Volume 89, No. 5, Pages 6 – 16.
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29
Newey, Whitney K. a dn Kenneth D. West. 1987. “A Simple Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix.” Econometrica, 55, 7038.
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30
Orlik, T. 2012. “Debating Lies, Damned Lies, and Chinese Economic Statistics.” The Wall Street Journal Thursday, July 26, 2012: C12. Rawski T. G.1976. “On the reliability of Chinese economic data” Journal of Development Studies, 1743-9140, Volume 12, Issue 4, 1976, Pages 438 – 441. Rawski, T. G. 2001. "What is happening to China's GDP statistics?" China Economic Review, 12(4): 347-354.
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31
Rawski T. G and W. Xiao, 2001 “RoundTable on Chinese Economic Statistics Introduction” China Economic Review, 12(2001) 298-302.
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32
Ren, Rouen. 2002. “How Inflated Is China’s GDP Statistics?—Comment on Methodological Issues of Two Studies on China’s GDP Statistics.” Economics Quarterly 2 (1):37–52.
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33
Scheibe, J. 2003. “Chinese Output Gap During the Reform Period 1978-2002” Department of Economics Discussion Paper No. 179, University of Oxford, December.
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34
Sinclair, T. M. and H.O. Stekler, 2012. “Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates,” International Journal of Forecasting, forthcoming.
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35
Sinclair, T. M., Joutz, F., & Stekler, H. O. 2010. “Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?” Economics Letters, 108(1), 28–32.
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36
Stekler, H. O. 1967. “Data revisions and economic forecasting.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 62, 470–483.
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37
Swanson, N. R. and D. van Dijk. 2006. "Are Reporting Agencies Getting It Right? Data Rationality and Business Cycle Asymmetry. " Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 24 (January 2006), pp. 24-42.
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38
Wu, H. X. 2000. “China's GDP level and growth performance: alternative estimates and the implications.” Review of Income and Wealth, 46(4).
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39
Wu, H. X. 2007. “The Chinese GDP Growth Rate Puzzle: How Fast Has the Chinese Economy Grown?” Asian Economic Papers 6(1): 1-23.
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40
Xu, Xianchun. 2002.” Study on Some Problems in Estimating China’s Gross Domestic Product.” Review of Income and Wealth 48 (2):205–15.
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41
Young, A. 2003. "Gold into Base Metals: Productivity Growth in the People's Republic of China during the Reform Period," Journal of Political Economy, 111(6): 1220-1261. 29
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